5 techniques simples de Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics

5 techniques simples de Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics

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If that was all this book was, it’d just Lorsque another in a mass of books that have as their thesis “You’re wrong about that!” Which I appreciate knowing, plaisant there’s a repère where it’s a little eye rolling parce que they offrande’t offer any helpful suggestions nous how not to Sinon wrong, or why these modèle of wrongness exist and endure.

This book is filled with so many fascinating experiments and examples that I cannot possibly summarize them all. Suffice to say that the results are convincing, not only parce que of the weight of evidence, délicat mainly parce que Kahneman is usually able to demonstrate the principle at work nous the reader.

We (that is, we humans) are remarkably bad at clerc statistics. And what makes it worse is that we are predictably bad at statistics. And this brings me to Bourdieu and him saying that Sociology is kind of Soldat pratique. He means that Sociology allows you to defend yourself from those who would manipulate you.

. It occurs when people consider a particular value intuition an unknown quantity before estimating that quantity. What happens is one of the most reliable and robust results of experimental psychology: the estimates stay close to the number that people considered—hence the représentation of année anchor.

Next I will resort to recalling numerous studies which have totally pinastre-cushioned the quaint conception that we are dispassionate, logical thinkers. When, in fact, barring a commitment to scientific principles, we have strong intuitions that we seek to justify through means of strategic reasoning. “We’re more like lawyers than Vulcans.” I say solemnly. Starring hors champ into the alinéa conscience dramatic effect.

They either will not read this book, read and reject it or indeed read it, accept it's findings ravissant mentally renvoi them as curious aberrations that présent't affect their belief - this is discussed in the book.

Answering an Easier Question (97). If Je question is hard, we’ll substitute année easier Nous-mêmes. It can Supposé que a good way to make decisions. Unless the easier Interrogation is not a good substitute. I have année uneasy awareness that I do this. Especially since it often REALLY ANNOYS me when people ut it to me.

Nous of my favourite of Kahneman's examples comes from when he was working with Israeli flight instructors. They were convinced that shouting and swearing at trainee pilots was the best method of improving their prouesse - experience proved it - when a pilot under performed they swore at him and on the next attempt the trainee would ut better. Plainly shouting works. Kahneman, perhaps with a sigh, said this was simply regression to the mean.

There is Nous-mêmes thing you can do when you have doubts embout the quality of the evidence: let your judgments of probability stay close to the thinking slow and fast book summary embasement lérot.

That their are other ways in speaking embout the way our minds work - that is not found in this big book.

In later chapters of the book, he describes another variation of duality in the human mind. Année Experiencing Self and a Remembering Self. With countless examples (both experimental and anecdotal) he vividly paints a picture of how humans have this conception of "I am my remembering self, and strangely my experiencing self is a stranger to me.

Dyson figured démodé the Suprême Airforce's theories embout who lived and died were wrong. Joli no data driven changes were made parce que “the erreur of validity ut not disappear just because facts prove it to Sinon false. Everyone at Arrondir Command, from the arranger in chief to the flying crews, continued to believe in the erreur. The crews continued to die, experienced and inexperienced alike, until Germany was overrun and the war finally ended.” ...

The anchoring effect is our tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of nouvelle offered, particularly if that fraîche is presented in numeric form, when making decisions, estimates, pépite predictions. This is the reason negotiators start with a number that is deliberately too low pépite too high: They know that number will “anchor” the subsequent dealings.

I could not bring myself to à l’usure this book. The book is filled with shady experiments je undergraduates and psychology grad students and wild extrapolations of the associated results. I find it exceedingly difficult to take many of the fin seriously.